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Tuesday "Just for Fun": Election Markets

If you've ever played the sports book or on-line betting, than you're familiar with the concept of sports "markets". Not so much the sports book as a true market where you buy and sell shares of expectations on who might win a particular sport. www.tradesports.com is one example of a robust, healthy market with lots of people and lots of trading.

All of these markets gain their legitimacy through the sheer number of trades going on for a particular event. The more people who trade, the more diverse interests, levels of research, and gut feelings that make their way into deciding the price. Its a neat concept.

In my spare time I'm a politics junkie, and ignoring completely the specifics of my own beliefs, one of the niftiest uses of these tools are in Election Markets. Rather than betting on the winner of a particular sporting event, in Election Markets you're betting on the winner of a particular election.

Two that I particularly like to keep an eye on are the Iowa Electronic Markets and Intrade. Though I've yet to drop any cash on them, I find them a neat thought experiment to see how the elections are proceeding. If this sort of silliness is up your alley, check them out for a jolly.

If anything, they make for a fun diversion from the grind of the typical administrator's work day...

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Greg Shields' Bio:

Greg Shields, is an independent author, instructor, and IT consultant based in Denver, Colorado, and a co-founder of Concentrated Technology. With nearly 15 years of experience in information technology, Greg has developed extensive experience in systems administration, engineering, and architecture specializing in Microsoft systems management, remote application, and virtualization technologies. Greg is a Contributing Editor for Redmond Magazine, MCPmag.com, and Virtualization Review Magazine and is the author of five books, including Windows Server 2008:  What’s New / What’s Changed. Greg is also a highly sought-after instructor and speaker, speaking regularly at conferences like TechMentor Events, and producing computer-based training curriculum for CBT Nuggets.  Greg is a recipient of Microsoft "Most Valuable Professional" award with a specialization in Windows Terminal Services.